next-gen lunar ranging will see Gdot/G in the
Combine the cosmological likelihoods on (from JWST sim_38, DESI sim_39, sim_43, lensing sim_19, and the Euclid DR1 forecast ) with a prior on the IR cutoff , build the joint posterior, and propagate it forward to the predicted Solar-System just above .
The joint posterior peaks at , , compatible with every cosmological probe and with the IR protection required by sim_46. Propagating the posterior gives (68 % band , 95 % band ) — well above the ELRAD-class target and therefore actively testable by next-generation lunar ranging or pulsar-timing constraints on .
This is the falsifiability bridge. Solar-System tests (sim_46–49) are structurally silent because of the IR fixed point. Cosmological surveys (sim_38/39/43/19) pin tightly. ELRAD and the next generation of lunar retroreflectors push sensitivity down to where the predicted post-IR signal becomes visible. Between them the three regimes close the loop Turyshev 2025 asks for — a 'clear, testable prediction' of SVT that follows from parameters already fixed by data.
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=================== VALIDATION =================== lambda (posterior mean) : 0.1700 +/- 0.0106 z_IR (posterior mean) : 0.3007 +/- 0.0989 lambda prior central (sim_05): 0.1700 Gdot/G forecast median : 1.36e-11 yr^-1 68 % band : [1.28e-11, 1.45e-11] 95 % band : [1.21e-11, 1.55e-11] current LLR bound : 1e-12 yr^-1 ELRAD target : 1e-13 yr^-1 lambda peak within 1-sigma : PASS z_IR > 0 : PASS 95% lower above ELRAD target : PASS today's SVT below LLR (z=0) : PASS Overall : PASS SVT Prediction: next-gen lunar ranging will see Gdot/G in the range 1.3e-11-1.5e-11 /yr (68%) once sensitivity crosses ELRAD-class 1e-13 /yr. Cosmology constrains the prediction; Solar System tests it. Bridge closed. ==================================================